Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 129.761344 148.047040 168.376533 192.722275 221.174164 253.478935 293.085709
2025-11-16 103.305680 126.857662 155.342872 192.593937 240.407018 300.231454 381.560846
2025-11-23 87.714369 113.340426 146.213980 191.987334 254.881515 339.451741 463.799199
2025-11-30 77.877598 104.831984 141.096458 194.259826 271.573966 382.066784 555.890227
2025-12-07 67.711347 94.184253 131.194937 187.779721 274.017320 403.710163 619.802742
2025-12-14 60.852222 87.157821 125.224073 185.682022 281.865158 433.516796 700.218737
2025-12-21 56.310888 82.873623 122.566729 187.908462 296.189987 474.847395 806.002672
2025-12-28 53.727259 81.169844 123.474167 195.597327 320.027421 534.840881 954.743770
2026-01-04 50.835317 78.630659 122.699909 200.267009 339.132165 589.158121 1102.925796
2026-01-11 47.077616 74.309010 118.545087 198.597627 346.640455 623.300907 1217.824128
2026-01-18 44.877431 72.309265 117.987523 203.039753 365.700016 681.721640 1393.691657
2026-01-25 41.977452 68.855361 114.586075 201.889850 373.880722 719.795645 1532.990720
2026-02-01 39.464192 66.097822 112.572450 203.952025 390.434769 781.400447 1749.236165
2026-02-08 36.864323 62.980724 109.665243 204.097415 403.511006 838.925569 1973.414440
2026-02-15 34.452713 59.957858 106.588547 203.461188 414.764988 894.430986 2207.753790
2026-02-22 32.676636 57.924297 105.137012 205.890166 433.007904 969.521993 2516.032209
2026-03-01 30.000845 53.956629 99.557127 198.966022 429.018146 990.177307 2676.935468
2026-03-08 28.107358 51.322518 96.345056 196.725057 435.591759 1038.585091 2935.054950
2026-03-15 26.863423 49.842889 95.298576 199.103564 453.627415 1120.458515 3324.357630
2026-03-22 26.273855 49.604557 96.760949 207.319620 487.520668 1252.665387 3927.217285
2026-03-29 25.418351 48.749147 96.835862 212.310990 513.998093 1370.047218 4523.988249
2026-04-05 24.051264 46.724463 94.211523 210.526478 522.176257 1435.394554 4953.425919
2026-04-12 23.312638 45.956317 94.256316 215.275273 549.100849 1564.537760 5686.918767